A historical analysis of active US-domiciled equity funds finds no meaningful relation between market volatility and managers’ success rates; the implication is that traditional active investments may compound your concerns during times of market uncertainty.
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Singled Out: Historical Performance of Individual Stocks
Single stocks have a wide range of returns. Only about a fifth of stocks survive and outperform the market over 20-year periods.
They delist at a high rate, even those that have been around for a long time and have outperformed the market for 20 years.
The chance of any single stock outperforming the market in the future is not meaningfully different when conditioning on its past performance.
