Nearly a century of US stock market data suggests that making investment decisions based on control of the chambers of Congress is unlikely to lead to better investment outcomes.
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Singled Out: Historical Performance of Individual Stocks
Single stocks have a wide range of returns. Only about a fifth of stocks survive and outperform the market over 20-year periods.
They delist at a high rate, even those that have been around for a long time and have outperformed the market for 20 years.
The chance of any single stock outperforming the market in the future is not meaningfully different when conditioning on its past performance.
